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Math & Optimization · advanced · concept 77 of 311 · Updated Nov 4, 2026

Gaussian Processes

A Gaussian process is a distribution over functions: any finite set of function values is jointly Gaussian, with a kernel deciding how similar nearby inputs should be. Fit to data, it returns not only a prediction at each point but an uncertainty band that widens away from the data. That makes GPs the standard surrogate in Bayesian optimization and a good fit for small, costly datasets. Exact inference is cubic in the number of points.

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Key terms

Kernel (covariance function)Posterior predictiveMarginal likelihoodBayesian optimizationSparse GPRBF kernel

Where you meet it in the real world

Hyperparameter tuning via Bayesian optimization, geostatistics (kriging), sensor and time-series modeling, surrogate models in engineering design